UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3

Liverpool FC vs Villarreal CF Prediction

Tue 20 Oct, 20:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: Anfield, Liverpool, England

United Matchday prediction

Liverpool FC win71%

Draw14%

Villarreal CF win15%

Predicted score: 3–1
Over 2.5 goals: 88%
Under 2.5 goals: 12%
BTTS yes: 78%

Over 1.5 goals: 96%
Over 3.5 goals: 74%
BTTS no: 22%
Expected goals: 3.40 – 1.63

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Liverpool FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

3–17.0%
2–16.2%
4–16.0%
3–25.7%
2–25.1%
4–24.9%
3–04.3%
5–14.1%

Team comparison

Statistic	Liverpool FC	Villarreal CF
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	2.25	0.75
Goals per match	3.50	2.00
Goals conceded per match	2.50	3.50
Home / away goals scored	6	5
Home / away goals conceded	4	7
Last 5 points	9	3
Last 5 goals scored	14	8
Last 5 goals conceded	10	14
Win percentage	75%	25%

Liverpool FC recent form

WWWL

Villarreal CF recent form

LWLL

Recent form

Liverpool FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded

Wat Brentford FC2–1
Wat LASK Linz6–3
Lvs Manchester City FC0–3
Wat AFC Bournemouth1–0
Dvs Fulham FC0–0

Villarreal CF

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 4 conceded

Dvs Elche CF0–0
Wvs SSC Napoli3–1
Lat Real Madrid0–1
Wvs Levante UD3–1
Wat Málaga CF3–1

Team news

Liverpool FC

All Liverpool FC news →

Villarreal CF

No tracked team news threads open.

All Villarreal CF news →

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.