UEFA Champions League
Sabah FK vs SK Slavia Praha
Home
52%
Draw
21%
Away
27%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 71%BTTS: 69%
Low confidenceFull prediction
UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3
Liverpool FC vs Villarreal CF Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- Anfield, Liverpool, England
United Matchday prediction
Liverpool FC win80%
Draw12%
Villarreal CF win9%
- Predicted score
- 3–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 82%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 18%
- BTTS yes
- 64%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 94%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 65%
- BTTS no
- 36%
- Expected goals
- 3.35 – 1.09
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Liverpool FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–18.1%
- 3–07.4%
- 2–17.3%
- 4–16.8%
- 2–06.6%
- 4–06.2%
- 5–14.6%
- 3–24.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Liverpool FC | Villarreal CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 1 | 1 |
| Points per match | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 0 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 2 | 2 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 1 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 100% | 0% |
Liverpool FC recent form
W
Villarreal CF recent form
L
Recent form
Liverpool FC
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 3 conceded
- Wat AFC Bournemouth1–0
- Dvs Fulham FC0–0
- Wvs Atlético Madrid2–1
- Wat Ipswich Town FC2–0
- Dvs Nottingham Forest FC2–2
Villarreal CF
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 10 conceded
- Wvs Levante UD3–1
- Wat Málaga CF3–1
- Lvs Real Betis Balompié1–2
- Lat Borussia Dortmund2–3
- Lvs RC Deportivo La Coruña2–3
Team news
Liverpool FC
- Transfer rumors, news: Liverpool eye Endrick in case Minteh deal fails
- Transfer news: Crystal Palace chairman Steve Parish tells Liverpool accepting £50m Ismaila Sarr bid was 'never
- Cody Gakpo transfer news: Man City's proposed £80m move for Liverpool forward close to collapse
- Liverpool transfer news: No approaches for Harvey Elliott or Federico Chiesa but club willing to listen to off
Where to watch (UK)
UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.