UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 1

Liverpool FC vs Atlético Madrid Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 9 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
Anfield, Liverpool, England

United Matchday prediction

Liverpool FC win39%
Draw22%
Atlético Madrid win40%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Under 2.5 goals
30%
BTTS yes
70%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
49%
BTTS no
30%
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.83

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–18.7%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 2–27.2%
  • 1–34.9%
  • 0–14.8%
  • 1–04.8%
  • 3–14.7%

Team comparison

StatisticLiverpool FCAtlético Madrid
Matches played11
Points per match3.000.00
Goals per match2.001.00
Goals conceded per match1.002.00
Home / away goals scored21
Home / away goals conceded12
Last 5 points30
Last 5 goals scored21
Last 5 goals conceded12
Win percentage100%0%

Liverpool FC recent form

W

Atlético Madrid recent form

L

Recent form

Liverpool FC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded

  • Wat Ipswich Town FC2–0
  • Dvs Nottingham Forest FC2–2
  • Dat Newcastle United FC2–2
  • Dvs Brentford FC1–1
  • Lat Aston Villa FC2–4

Atlético Madrid

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Athletic Club0–3
  • Wat Sevilla FC3–1
  • Dvs Villarreal CF2–2
  • Wvs Málaga CF2–0
  • Lat Villarreal CF1–5

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 9 Sept, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 August 2026
Last updated: 9 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.