Championship · Matchweek 8

Lincoln City FC vs Swansea City AFC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Lincoln City FC win31%
Draw26%
Swansea City AFC win44%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
BTTS yes
54%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
Over 3.5 goals
28%
BTTS no
46%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.47

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Lincoln City FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Swansea City AFC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Swansea City AFC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 0–110.3%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 0–27.6%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 0–07.0%
  • 2–25.3%

Team comparison

StatisticLincoln City FCSwansea City AFC
Matches played77
Points per match1.572.00
Goals per match0.861.57
Goals conceded per match0.860.71
Home / away goals scored36
Home / away goals conceded64
Last 5 points810
Last 5 goals scored48
Last 5 goals conceded35
Win percentage43%57%

Lincoln City FC recent form

DDWWL

Swansea City AFC recent form

WDLWW

Recent form

Lincoln City FC

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 1 conceded

  • Wat Bristol City FC1–0
  • Wat Preston North End FC1–0
  • Dvs Southampton FC1–1
  • Dvs Blackburn Rovers FC0–0
  • Wat Bolton Wanderers FC1–0

Swansea City AFC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs Burnley FC3–1
  • Lat Southampton FC1–3
  • Dvs Wrexham AFC0–0
  • Wvs Watford FC2–0
  • Wat Derby County FC3–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.