Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 5
Juventus vs Atalanta BC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 20 Sept, 17:00 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sun 20 Sept, 18:00 (CEST)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- Turin, Italy
United Matchday prediction
Juventus win55%
Draw23%
Atalanta BC win22%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 46%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 77%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 31%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 1.79 – 1.04
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Juventus's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–010.6%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–09.5%
- 0–16.2%
- 0–05.9%
- 3–15.9%
- 1–25.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Juventus | Atalanta BC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 1.64 | 1.27 |
| Goals per match | 1.36 | 1.55 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.09 | 1.82 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 45% | 36% |
Juventus recent form
LWLWD
Atalanta BC recent form
LDDLW
Recent form
Juventus
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 6 conceded
- Lat US Sassuolo Calcio2–3
- Dvs AC Milan1–1
- Wvs Parma Calcio 19132–0
- Wat Frosinone Calcio1–0
- Dat Torino FC2–2
Atalanta BC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 6 conceded
- Lvs Cagliari Calcio1–2
- Lat AS Roma1–2
- Wvs Bologna FC 19091–0
- Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
- Dat ACF Fiorentina1–1
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Serie A
Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 69%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan
Home
16%
Draw
23%
Away
60%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 45%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.