Serie A · Matchweek 5

Juventus vs Atalanta BC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 20 Sept, 17:00 (BST)
Kick-off (local)
Sun 20 Sept, 18:00 (CEST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
Turin, Italy

United Matchday prediction

Juventus win55%
Draw23%
Atalanta BC win22%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Under 2.5 goals
46%
BTTS yes
54%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Over 3.5 goals
31%
BTTS no
46%
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.04

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Juventus's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 1–010.6%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–09.5%
  • 0–16.2%
  • 0–05.9%
  • 3–15.9%
  • 1–25.7%

Team comparison

StatisticJuventusAtalanta BC
Matches played55
Points per match2.001.20
Goals per match1.601.00
Goals conceded per match0.801.40
Home / away goals scored51
Home / away goals conceded14
Last 5 points106
Last 5 goals scored85
Last 5 goals conceded47
Win percentage60%40%

Juventus recent form

WWDLW

Atalanta BC recent form

WWLLL

Recent form

Juventus

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat US Sassuolo Calcio2–3
  • Dvs AC Milan1–1
  • Wvs Parma Calcio 19132–0
  • Wat Frosinone Calcio1–0
  • Dat Torino FC2–2

Atalanta BC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lvs Cagliari Calcio1–2
  • Lat AS Roma1–2
  • Wvs Bologna FC 19091–0
  • Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
  • Dat ACF Fiorentina1–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.