Serie A
Genoa CFC vs ACF Fiorentina
Home
30%
Draw
23%
Away
47%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 3
Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 6 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sun 6 Sept, 20:45 (CEST)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- Turin, Italy
United Matchday prediction
Juventus win44%
Draw24%
AC Milan win32%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 42%
- BTTS yes
- 60%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 80%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 36%
- BTTS no
- 40%
- Expected goals
- 1.65 – 1.37
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
AC Milan have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Juventus's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–08.1%
- 1–27.6%
- 0–16.7%
- 2–06.7%
- 2–26.2%
- 3–15.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Juventus | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 60% |
Juventus recent form
WWDLW
AC Milan recent form
WWDDW
Recent form
Juventus
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs Parma Calcio 19132–0
- Wat Frosinone Calcio1–0
- Dat Torino FC2–2
- Lvs ACF Fiorentina0–2
- Wat US Lecce1–0
AC Milan
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs Venezia FC2–0
- Wat Torino FC2–1
- Lvs Cagliari Calcio1–2
- Wat Genoa CFC2–1
- Lvs Atalanta BC2–3
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 6 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 6 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Serie A
US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
39%
Draw
28%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 43%BTTS: 49%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs Juventus
Home
36%
Draw
28%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 47%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
Udinese Calcio vs US Lecce
Home
42%
Draw
26%
Away
32%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 52%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.