Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 33

Grêmio FBPA vs CA Paranaense Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 30 Oct, 00:30 (GMT+0)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 33
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Grêmio FBPA win37%
Draw23%
CA Paranaense win40%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Under 2.5 goals
34%
BTTS yes
67%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Over 3.5 goals
44%
BTTS no
33%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.72

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Grêmio FBPA's home attacking output as weaker than the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A baseline. CA Paranaense have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. CA Paranaense carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.7%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 0–15.8%
  • 1–05.6%
  • 0–25.0%
  • 1–34.8%

Team comparison

StatisticGrêmio FBPACA Paranaense
Matches played86
Points per match0.631.50
Goals per match0.882.33
Goals conceded per match1.502.33
Home / away goals scored47
Home / away goals conceded38
Last 5 points26
Last 5 goals scored411
Last 5 goals conceded712
Win percentage13%33%

Grêmio FBPA recent form

LLLDD

CA Paranaense recent form

DLDWD

Recent form

Grêmio FBPA

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dat Clube do Remo1–1
  • Dvs SE Palmeiras0–0
  • Lat Botafogo FR2–3
  • Lvs CR Vasco da Gama1–2
  • Lat EC Vitória0–1

CA Paranaense

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 12 conceded

  • Dvs CA Mineiro2–2
  • Wvs EC Bahia2–1
  • Dat Coritiba FBC3–3
  • Lat Cruzeiro EC1–3
  • Dvs Fluminense FC3–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 9 October 2026
Last updated: 9 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
522
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.3%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
11.1%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.