Eredivisie
FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen
Home
24%
Draw
17%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 80%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 8
Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 10 Oct, 15:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Go Ahead Eagles win67%
Draw17%
Sparta Rotterdam win16%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 75%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 25%
- BTTS yes
- 67%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 90%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 55%
- BTTS no
- 33%
- Expected goals
- 2.65 – 1.28
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Sparta Rotterdam have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given Go Ahead Eagles's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.9%
- 3–17.8%
- 2–06.9%
- 1–16.7%
- 3–06.1%
- 2–25.7%
- 1–05.2%
- 4–15.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Go Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.27 | 0.90 |
| Goals per match | 1.82 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.36 | 2.70 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 14 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 13 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 27% | 20% |
Go Ahead Eagles recent form
DLWLW
Sparta Rotterdam recent form
DWLWL
Recent form
Go Ahead Eagles
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 11 conceded
- Dat NEC1–1
- Dvs FC Groningen1–1
- Dat FC Utrecht3–3
- Lat AZ2–5
- Wvs ADO Den Haag3–1
Sparta Rotterdam
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 15 conceded
- Lvs SC Heerenveen0–4
- Lat PSV1–4
- Dvs PEC Zwolle2–2
- Lat SBV Excelsior1–2
- Dvs FC Utrecht3–3
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Draw
6%
Away
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- Predicted score: 4–0Over 2.5: 86%BTTS: 54%
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.