Eredivisie · Matchweek 8

Go Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 10 Oct, 15:30 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Go Ahead Eagles win66%
Draw17%
Sparta Rotterdam win17%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
75%
Under 2.5 goals
25%
BTTS yes
67%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
Over 3.5 goals
55%
BTTS no
33%
Expected goals
2.65 – 1.28

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sparta Rotterdam have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given Go Ahead Eagles's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.8%
  • 3–17.8%
  • 2–06.9%
  • 1–16.7%
  • 3–06.1%
  • 2–25.7%
  • 1–05.2%
  • 4–15.2%

Team comparison

StatisticGo Ahead EaglesSparta Rotterdam
Matches played65
Points per match1.170.40
Goals per match2.001.40
Goals conceded per match2.173.00
Home / away goals scored42
Home / away goals conceded26
Last 5 points62
Last 5 goals scored107
Last 5 goals conceded1115
Win percentage17%0%

Go Ahead Eagles recent form

WLDDD

Sparta Rotterdam recent form

DLDLL

Recent form

Go Ahead Eagles

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 11 conceded

  • Dat NEC1–1
  • Dvs FC Groningen1–1
  • Dat FC Utrecht3–3
  • Lat AZ2–5
  • Wvs ADO Den Haag3–1

Sparta Rotterdam

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 15 conceded

  • Lvs SC Heerenveen0–4
  • Lat PSV1–4
  • Dvs PEC Zwolle2–2
  • Lat SBV Excelsior1–2
  • Dvs FC Utrecht3–3

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.