Primeira Liga · Matchweek 7

Gil Vicente FC vs CS Marítimo Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 19 Sept, 15:30 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Gil Vicente FC win49%
Draw26%
CS Marítimo win25%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
BTTS yes
50%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
BTTS no
50%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.02

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Gil Vicente FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against CS Marítimo, who have shipped goals above the Primeira Liga average on the road. Gil Vicente FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–011.9%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 2–09.1%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 0–07.8%
  • 1–26.2%
  • 2–24.8%

Team comparison

StatisticGil Vicente FCCS Marítimo
Matches played56
Points per match1.000.83
Goals per match0.801.17
Goals conceded per match1.002.00
Home / away goals scored35
Home / away goals conceded27
Last 5 points52
Last 5 goals scored45
Last 5 goals conceded511
Win percentage20%17%

Gil Vicente FC recent form

WDLLD

CS Marítimo recent form

DLLLD

Recent form

Gil Vicente FC

1W 1D 2L in the last 4 · 3 scored, 4 conceded

  • Lat Sport Lisboa e Benfica1–3
  • Lvs Académico de Viseu FC0–1
  • Dat FC Famalicão0–0
  • Wvs Casa Pia AC2–0

CS Marítimo

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Moreirense FC1–3
  • Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–3
  • Lat FC Arouca1–2
  • Dvs Académico de Viseu FC2–2
  • Wat FC Famalicão2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.