Primeira Liga
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 5
Gil Vicente FC vs Académico de Viseu FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 6 Sept, 20:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Gil Vicente FC win60%
Draw22%
Académico de Viseu FC win19%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 44%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 79%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 34%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 1.94 – 0.99
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against Académico de Viseu FC, who have shipped goals above the Primeira Liga average on the road. Gil Vicente FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Recent results also favour Gil Vicente FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.4%
- 1–110.3%
- 2–010.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–06.5%
- 3–16.4%
- 0–05.4%
- 0–15.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Gil Vicente FC | Académico de Viseu FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 9 |
| Points per match | 1.50 | 2.11 |
| Goals per match | 0.90 | 1.44 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 1.11 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 67% |
Gil Vicente FC recent form
WWLDW
Académico de Viseu FC recent form
WWWWL
Recent form
Gil Vicente FC
1W 1D 0L in the last 2 · 2 scored, 0 conceded
- Dat FC Famalicão0–0
- Wvs Casa Pia AC2–0
Académico de Viseu FC
0W 1D 1L in the last 2 · 2 scored, 5 conceded
- Lvs FC Porto0–3
- Dat CS Marítimo2–2
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 6 Sept, 20:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 6 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Home
14%
Draw
24%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 39%BTTS: 38%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.