Primeira Liga · Matchweek 5

Gil Vicente FC vs Académico de Viseu FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 6 Sept, 20:30 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Gil Vicente FC win60%
Draw22%
Académico de Viseu FC win19%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals
44%
BTTS yes
54%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Over 3.5 goals
34%
BTTS no
46%
Expected goals
1.94 – 0.99

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Away defensive numbers work against Académico de Viseu FC, who have shipped goals above the Primeira Liga average on the road. Gil Vicente FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Recent results also favour Gil Vicente FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–010.4%
  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–010.1%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 3–06.5%
  • 3–16.4%
  • 0–05.4%
  • 0–15.3%

Team comparison

StatisticGil Vicente FCAcadémico de Viseu FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.002.00
Goals per match0.801.40
Goals conceded per match1.001.20
Home / away goals scored35
Home / away goals conceded22
Last 5 points510
Last 5 goals scored47
Last 5 goals conceded56
Win percentage20%60%

Gil Vicente FC recent form

WDLLD

Académico de Viseu FC recent form

DLWWW

Recent form

Gil Vicente FC

1W 1D 0L in the last 2 · 2 scored, 0 conceded

  • Dat FC Famalicão0–0
  • Wvs Casa Pia AC2–0

Académico de Viseu FC

0W 1D 1L in the last 2 · 2 scored, 5 conceded

  • Lvs FC Porto0–3
  • Dat CS Marítimo2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 6 Sept, 20:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 6 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.