Primera Division · Matchweek 4

Getafe CF vs RC Celta de Vigo Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 7 Sept, 18:00 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Getafe CF win48%
Draw32%
RC Celta de Vigo win19%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
24%
Under 2.5 goals
76%
BTTS yes
30%
Over 1.5 goals
50%
Over 3.5 goals
9%
BTTS no
70%
Expected goals
1.11 – 0.59

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Getafe CF have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. RC Celta de Vigo have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Getafe CF's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. The model expects a lower-scoring game than the competition average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–020.4%
  • 0–018.4%
  • 1–111.9%
  • 2–011.3%
  • 0–110.8%
  • 2–16.6%
  • 3–04.2%
  • 1–23.5%

Team comparison

StatisticGetafe CFRC Celta de Vigo
Matches played1112
Points per match1.091.08
Goals per match0.730.83
Goals conceded per match1.360.83
Home / away goals scored81
Home / away goals conceded44
Last 5 points46
Last 5 goals scored42
Last 5 goals conceded114
Win percentage27%17%

Getafe CF recent form

LDLWL

RC Celta de Vigo recent form

DWDLD

Recent form

Getafe CF

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 3 conceded

  • Lat CA Osasuna0–1
  • Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander1–0
  • Wvs CA Osasuna1–0
  • Lat Elche CF0–1
  • Wvs RCD Mallorca3–1

RC Celta de Vigo

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dat Real Sociedad de Fútbol0–0
  • Lvs Athletic Club0–2
  • Lvs CA Osasuna1–2
  • Dat Valencia CF0–0
  • Wvs Sevilla FC1–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 7 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.