Primera Division · Matchweek 9

Getafe CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 19 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Getafe CF win53%
Draw24%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win24%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Under 2.5 goals
46%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Over 3.5 goals
31%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
1.74 – 1.08

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Getafe CF's home attacking output as weaker than the Primera Division baseline. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given Getafe CF's home defensive numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–09.0%
  • 0–16.5%
  • 1–26.1%
  • 0–06.0%
  • 3–15.6%

Team comparison

StatisticGetafe CFRayo Vallecano de Madrid
Matches played1110
Points per match1.091.20
Goals per match0.731.40
Goals conceded per match1.361.90
Home / away goals scored85
Home / away goals conceded412
Last 5 points45
Last 5 goals scored45
Last 5 goals conceded116
Win percentage27%30%

Getafe CF recent form

LDLWL

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid recent form

DDLWL

Recent form

Getafe CF

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat Barcelona0–3
  • Wvs Málaga CF1–0
  • Lat Real Betis Balompié0–1
  • Dvs RC Deportivo La Coruña1–1
  • Dvs RC Celta de Vigo1–1

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 13 conceded

  • Dat CA Osasuna1–1
  • Wvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona2–1
  • Lat Real Madrid1–4
  • Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander3–2
  • Lat Barcelona2–5

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 28 September 2026
Last updated: 19 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.