Primera Division · Matchweek 9

Getafe CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 19 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Getafe CF win55%
Draw23%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win22%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Under 2.5 goals
46%
BTTS yes
54%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Over 3.5 goals
32%
BTTS no
46%
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.03

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Getafe CF's home attacking output as weaker than the Primera Division baseline. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given Getafe CF's home defensive numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 1–010.6%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–09.5%
  • 0–16.1%
  • 3–15.9%
  • 0–05.9%
  • 3–05.7%

Team comparison

StatisticGetafe CFRayo Vallecano de Madrid
Matches played66
Points per match1.331.33
Goals per match0.671.67
Goals conceded per match0.672.33
Home / away goals scored44
Home / away goals conceded210
Last 5 points57
Last 5 goals scored39
Last 5 goals conceded413
Win percentage33%33%

Getafe CF recent form

LDDLW

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid recent form

LWLWD

Recent form

Getafe CF

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs Málaga CF1–0
  • Lat Real Betis Balompié0–1
  • Dvs RC Deportivo La Coruña1–1
  • Dvs RC Celta de Vigo1–1
  • Lat CA Osasuna0–1

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 13 conceded

  • Dat CA Osasuna1–1
  • Wvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona2–1
  • Lat Real Madrid1–4
  • Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander3–2
  • Lat Barcelona2–5

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 28 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.