Primera Division · Matchweek 7

Getafe CF vs Málaga CF Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 20 Sept, 13:00 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Getafe CF win59%
Draw25%
Málaga CF win15%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Under 2.5 goals
63%
BTTS yes
37%
Over 1.5 goals
64%
Over 3.5 goals
18%
BTTS no
63%
Expected goals
1.55 – 0.64

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Getafe CF's home attacking output as weaker than the Primera Division baseline. Málaga CF have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given Getafe CF's home defensive numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–017.4%
  • 2–013.4%
  • 0–011.2%
  • 1–111.1%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 0–17.2%
  • 3–06.9%
  • 3–14.4%

Team comparison

StatisticGetafe CFMálaga CF
Matches played1112
Points per match1.090.42
Goals per match0.730.75
Goals conceded per match1.361.92
Home / away goals scored83
Home / away goals conceded411
Last 5 points42
Last 5 goals scored46
Last 5 goals conceded1111
Win percentage27%0%

Getafe CF recent form

LDLWL

Málaga CF recent form

DLDLL

Recent form

Getafe CF

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 4 conceded

  • Lat Real Betis Balompié0–1
  • Dvs RC Deportivo La Coruña1–1
  • Dvs RC Celta de Vigo1–1
  • Lat CA Osasuna0–1
  • Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander1–0

Málaga CF

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lvs Villarreal CF1–3
  • Dat RC Celta de Vigo1–1
  • Dvs Levante UD0–0
  • Lat Real Madrid0–4
  • Dvs RC Deportivo La Coruña1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.