Primera Division · Matchweek 13

Getafe CF vs Atlético Madrid Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 22 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 13
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Getafe CF win19%
Draw24%
Atlético Madrid win57%
Predicted score
0–1
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Under 2.5 goals
55%
BTTS yes
46%
Over 1.5 goals
71%
Over 3.5 goals
24%
BTTS no
54%
Expected goals
0.83 – 1.66

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Getafe CF's home attacking output as weaker than the Primera Division baseline. The model credits Atlético Madrid with an above-average away defensive record. Atlético Madrid carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. Atlético Madrid arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–113.7%
  • 1–111.4%
  • 0–211.4%
  • 1–29.5%
  • 0–08.3%
  • 1–06.9%
  • 0–36.3%
  • 1–35.2%

Team comparison

StatisticGetafe CFAtlético Madrid
Matches played1112
Points per match1.092.33
Goals per match0.731.92
Goals conceded per match1.360.83
Home / away goals scored811
Home / away goals conceded45
Last 5 points412
Last 5 goals scored47
Last 5 goals conceded113
Win percentage27%75%

Getafe CF recent form

LDLWL

Atlético Madrid recent form

WWWWL

Recent form

Getafe CF

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Villarreal CF0–2
  • Wvs Sevilla FC3–1
  • Lat Athletic Club0–4
  • Dvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1–1
  • Lat Barcelona0–3

Atlético Madrid

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 5 conceded

  • Lvs Barcelona1–2
  • Lvs Bayern Munich0–2
  • Wat Levante UD2–0
  • Wvs RC Deportivo La Coruña1–0
  • Dat VfB Stuttgart1–1

Team news

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 1 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.