Serie A · Matchweek 4

Genoa CFC vs Frosinone Calcio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 12 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Genoa CFC win8%
Draw14%
Frosinone Calcio win78%
Predicted score
0–2
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Under 2.5 goals
36%
BTTS yes
47%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
42%
BTTS no
53%
Expected goals
0.72 – 2.59

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Genoa CFC's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. The model credits Frosinone Calcio with an above-average away defensive record. Frosinone Calcio carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–212.3%
  • 0–310.6%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 1–37.6%
  • 0–46.9%
  • 1–16.8%
  • 1–44.9%

Team comparison

StatisticGenoa CFCFrosinone Calcio
Matches played55
Points per match0.202.00
Goals per match0.601.80
Goals conceded per match2.000.80
Home / away goals scored24
Home / away goals conceded71
Last 5 points110
Last 5 goals scored39
Last 5 goals conceded104
Win percentage0%60%

Genoa CFC recent form

LLLDL

Frosinone Calcio recent form

LWWDW

Recent form

Genoa CFC

0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lvs Como 19071–4
  • Lat SS Lazio0–1
  • Lvs SSC Napoli0–2
  • Lat US Lecce0–1
  • Lvs AC Milan1–2

Frosinone Calcio

2W 0D 1L in the last 3 · 6 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wvs Venezia FC3–2
  • Wat ACF Fiorentina3–0
  • Lvs Juventus0–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.