Primeira Liga · Matchweek 7

GD Estoril Praia vs Casa Pia AC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 20 Sept, 18:00 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

GD Estoril Praia win37%
Draw36%
Casa Pia AC win27%
Predicted score
0–0
Over 2.5 goals
19%
Under 2.5 goals
81%
BTTS yes
28%
Over 1.5 goals
45%
Over 3.5 goals
7%
BTTS no
72%
Expected goals
0.84 – 0.67

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

GD Estoril Praia have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Casa Pia AC, who have shipped goals above the Primeira Liga average on the road. GD Estoril Praia's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. The model expects a lower-scoring game than the competition average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–022.0%
  • 1–018.5%
  • 0–114.8%
  • 1–112.5%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 2–15.2%
  • 0–25.0%
  • 1–24.2%

Team comparison

StatisticGD Estoril PraiaCasa Pia AC
Matches played66
Points per match0.170.67
Goals per match0.330.50
Goals conceded per match1.502.50
Home / away goals scored12
Home / away goals conceded43
Last 5 points14
Last 5 goals scored23
Last 5 goals conceded78
Win percentage0%17%

GD Estoril Praia recent form

LLDLL

Casa Pia AC recent form

LLDLW

Recent form

GD Estoril Praia

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 1 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Sporting Clube de Braga0–1
  • Dvs FC Arouca0–0
  • Lat Sport Lisboa e Benfica1–2
  • Lvs Rio Ave FC0–2
  • Lat CD Nacional0–2

Casa Pia AC

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 1 scored, 14 conceded

  • Lvs FC Porto1–4
  • Dat Vitória SC0–0
  • Lvs Moreirense FC0–1
  • Lat Gil Vicente FC0–2
  • Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–7

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.