Primeira Liga
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 7
GD Estoril Praia vs Casa Pia AC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 20 Sept, 18:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
GD Estoril Praia win37%
Draw36%
Casa Pia AC win27%
- Predicted score
- 0–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 19%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 81%
- BTTS yes
- 28%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 45%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 7%
- BTTS no
- 72%
- Expected goals
- 0.84 – 0.67
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
GD Estoril Praia have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Casa Pia AC, who have shipped goals above the Primeira Liga average on the road. GD Estoril Praia's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. The model expects a lower-scoring game than the competition average.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–022.0%
- 1–018.5%
- 0–114.8%
- 1–112.5%
- 2–07.8%
- 2–15.2%
- 0–25.0%
- 1–24.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | GD Estoril Praia | Casa Pia AC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 10 |
| Points per match | 0.11 | 0.80 |
| Goals per match | 0.44 | 0.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.90 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 0 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 0% | 20% |
GD Estoril Praia recent form
LLLLL
Casa Pia AC recent form
WLWLD
Recent form
GD Estoril Praia
0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 1 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat Sporting Clube de Braga0–1
- Dvs FC Arouca0–0
- Lat Sport Lisboa e Benfica1–2
- Lvs Rio Ave FC0–2
- Lat CD Nacional0–2
Casa Pia AC
0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 1 scored, 14 conceded
- Lvs FC Porto1–4
- Dat Vitória SC0–0
- Lvs Moreirense FC0–1
- Lat Gil Vicente FC0–2
- Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–7
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Home
14%
Draw
24%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 39%BTTS: 38%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.