UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 5

Galatasaray vs Aston Villa FC Prediction

Tue 24 Nov, 17:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Tue 24 Nov, 17:45 (GMT)
Kick-off (local): Tue 24 Nov, 20:45 (GMT+3)
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Round: Matchweek 5
Venue: Istanbul, Turkey

United Matchday prediction

Galatasaray win38%

Draw20%

Aston Villa FC win42%

Predicted score: 2–2
Over 2.5 goals: 81%
Under 2.5 goals: 19%
BTTS yes: 79%

Over 1.5 goals: 93%
Over 3.5 goals: 64%
BTTS no: 21%
Expected goals: 2.14 – 2.24

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Galatasaray have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Aston Villa FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

2–27.2%
1–26.7%
2–16.4%
1–16.0%
2–35.4%
3–25.1%
1–35.0%
3–14.6%

Team comparison

Statistic	Galatasaray	Aston Villa FC
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	1.50	2.25
Goals per match	2.00	3.00
Goals conceded per match	2.25	1.50
Home / away goals scored	3	3
Home / away goals conceded	4	5
Last 5 points	6	9
Last 5 goals scored	8	12
Last 5 goals conceded	9	6
Win percentage	50%	75%

Galatasaray recent form

LLWW

Aston Villa FC recent form

WWWL

Recent form

Galatasaray

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 13 conceded

Wvs VfB Stuttgart2–0
Wat Lille OSC4–2
Lvs Barcelona1–4
Lat Sporting Clube de Portugal1–3
Lat Liverpool FC0–4

Aston Villa FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 10 conceded

Dat Manchester United FC4–4
Lat Barcelona0–3
Dvs Fulham FC1–1
Wvs Manchester City FC2–1
Wvs Viking FK3–1

Team news

Galatasaray

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Aston Villa FC

All Aston Villa FC news →

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 24 Nov, 17:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.