Serie A · Matchweek 13

Frosinone Calcio vs Parma Calcio 1913 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 28 Nov, 14:00 (GMT)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 13
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Frosinone Calcio win76%
Draw14%
Parma Calcio 1913 win10%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
71%
Under 2.5 goals
29%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
50%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
2.78 – 0.92

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Frosinone Calcio have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Frosinone Calcio's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Frosinone Calcio, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–09.6%
  • 3–08.9%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 3–18.2%
  • 1–06.9%
  • 1–16.3%
  • 4–06.2%
  • 4–15.7%

Team comparison

StatisticFrosinone CalcioParma Calcio 1913
Matches played1111
Points per match1.820.73
Goals per match2.180.82
Goals conceded per match1.361.55
Home / away goals scored165
Home / away goals conceded69
Last 5 points104
Last 5 goals scored155
Last 5 goals conceded87
Win percentage55%18%

Frosinone Calcio recent form

WDWWL

Parma Calcio 1913 recent form

LLDWL

Recent form

Frosinone Calcio

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat Cagliari Calcio0–1
  • Wvs Torino FC2–0
  • Wvs US Lecce5–1
  • Dat Atalanta BC4–4
  • Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio4–2

Parma Calcio 1913

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lvs Bologna FC 19091–2
  • Wat Atalanta BC3–0
  • Dvs Udinese Calcio0–0
  • Lat SS Lazio1–2
  • Lvs Torino FC0–3

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 28 Nov, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.