Serie A · Matchweek 5

Frosinone Calcio vs Como 1907 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Frosinone Calcio win27%
Draw22%
Como 1907 win52%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Under 2.5 goals
34%
BTTS yes
65%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Over 3.5 goals
44%
BTTS no
35%
Expected goals
1.40 – 2.00

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Como 1907 with an above-average away defensive record. Como 1907 carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Como 1907 arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.4%
  • 1–19.3%
  • 0–26.7%
  • 0–16.7%
  • 2–26.5%
  • 2–16.5%
  • 1–36.2%
  • 1–04.7%

Team comparison

StatisticFrosinone CalcioComo 1907
Matches played1111
Points per match1.822.09
Goals per match2.181.64
Goals conceded per match1.360.91
Home / away goals scored1613
Home / away goals conceded69
Last 5 points1012
Last 5 goals scored159
Last 5 goals conceded84
Win percentage55%64%

Frosinone Calcio recent form

WDWWL

Como 1907 recent form

WWWWL

Recent form

Frosinone Calcio

2W 1D 1L in the last 4 · 7 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dat Genoa CFC1–1
  • Wvs Venezia FC3–2
  • Wat ACF Fiorentina3–0
  • Lvs Juventus0–1

Como 1907

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs Parma Calcio 19132–1
  • Wvs RB Leipzig4–1
  • Wat Genoa CFC4–1
  • Wat SSC Napoli2–1
  • Dat Udinese Calcio1–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.