Eredivisie · Matchweek 6

Fortuna Sittard vs AFC Ajax Prediction

Sat 12 Sept, 19:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 12 Sept, 19:00 (BST)
Competition: Eredivisie
Round: Matchweek 6
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Fortuna Sittard win15%

Draw16%

AFC Ajax win68%

Predicted score: 1–2
Over 2.5 goals: 76%
Under 2.5 goals: 24%
BTTS yes: 67%

Over 1.5 goals: 91%
Over 3.5 goals: 56%
BTTS no: 33%
Expected goals: 1.25 – 2.72

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Fortuna Sittard's home attacking output as weaker than the Eredivisie baseline. The model credits AFC Ajax with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Fortuna Sittard, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

1–28.7%
1–37.9%
0–27.0%
1–16.4%
0–36.3%
2–25.5%
1–45.4%
0–15.1%

Team comparison

Statistic	Fortuna Sittard	AFC Ajax
Matches played	5	6
Points per match	1.80	1.83
Goals per match	1.60	3.17
Goals conceded per match	2.20	1.50
Home / away goals scored	1	9
Home / away goals conceded	7	1
Last 5 points	9	10
Last 5 goals scored	8	17
Last 5 goals conceded	11	7
Win percentage	60%	50%

Fortuna Sittard recent form

LWWLW

AFC Ajax recent form

WLWWD

Recent form

Fortuna Sittard

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded

Wat ADO Den Haag3–2
Wat FC Groningen3–2
Lvs AZ0–2
Lat FC Utrecht0–2
Wvs PEC Zwolle3–2

AFC Ajax

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

Lvs PSV1–3
Wat Telstar 19634–0
Dvs SC Heerenveen2–2
Dat SC Heerenveen0–0
Lvs FC Utrecht1–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.