Eredivisie
FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen
Home
24%
Draw
17%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 80%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 6
Fortuna Sittard vs AFC Ajax Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 19:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Fortuna Sittard win15%
Draw16%
AFC Ajax win68%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 76%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 24%
- BTTS yes
- 67%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 91%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 56%
- BTTS no
- 33%
- Expected goals
- 1.25 – 2.72
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Fortuna Sittard's home attacking output as weaker than the Eredivisie baseline. The model credits AFC Ajax with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Fortuna Sittard, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–28.7%
- 1–37.9%
- 0–27.0%
- 1–16.4%
- 0–36.3%
- 2–25.5%
- 1–45.4%
- 0–15.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Fortuna Sittard | AFC Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 11 |
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 2.73 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.70 | 1.36 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 18 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 10 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 55% |
Fortuna Sittard recent form
DDWDD
AFC Ajax recent form
DWWWD
Recent form
Fortuna Sittard
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded
- Wat ADO Den Haag3–2
- Wat FC Groningen3–2
- Lvs AZ0–2
- Lat FC Utrecht0–2
- Wvs PEC Zwolle3–2
AFC Ajax
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded
- Lvs PSV1–3
- Wat Telstar 19634–0
- Dvs SC Heerenveen2–2
- Dat SC Heerenveen0–0
- Lvs FC Utrecht1–2
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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FC Twente '65 vs Willem II Tilburg
Home
91%
Draw
6%
Away
3%
- Predicted score: 4–0Over 2.5: 86%BTTS: 54%
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Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard
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41%
Draw
21%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
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SBV Excelsior vs Telstar 1963
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 58%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.