UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 2

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs PAE AEK Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FK Shakhtar Donetsk win49%
Draw22%
PAE AEK win29%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Under 2.5 goals
34%
BTTS yes
66%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Over 3.5 goals
44%
BTTS no
34%
Expected goals
1.93 – 1.46

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

PAE AEK have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. PAE AEK arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.5%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–26.9%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 1–06.5%
  • 2–06.3%
  • 3–15.9%
  • 0–14.9%

Team comparison

StatisticFK Shakhtar DonetskPAE AEK
Matches played44
Points per match1.000.75
Goals per match1.001.25
Goals conceded per match1.002.75
Home / away goals scored32
Home / away goals conceded28
Last 5 points43
Last 5 goals scored45
Last 5 goals conceded411
Win percentage25%25%

FK Shakhtar Donetsk recent form

DWLL

PAE AEK recent form

WLLL

Recent form

FK Shakhtar Donetsk

0W 1D 0L in the last 1 · 1 scored, 1 conceded

  • Dat PSV1–1

PAE AEK

1W 0D 0L in the last 1 · 1 scored, 0 conceded

  • Wvs LASK Linz1–0

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 September 2026
Last updated: 14 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.