UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 5

FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe SK Prediction

Wed 25 Nov, 20:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Wed 25 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Round: Matchweek 5
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FK Shakhtar Donetsk win74%

Draw15%

Fenerbahçe SK win12%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 74%
Under 2.5 goals: 26%
BTTS yes: 61%

Over 1.5 goals: 90%
Over 3.5 goals: 53%
BTTS no: 39%
Expected goals: 2.79 – 1.05

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees FK Shakhtar Donetsk's home attacking output as weaker than the UEFA Champions League baseline. Fenerbahçe SK have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given FK Shakhtar Donetsk's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

2–18.8%
2–08.4%
3–18.2%
3–07.8%
1–16.3%
1–06.0%
4–15.7%
4–05.5%

Team comparison

Statistic	FK Shakhtar Donetsk	Fenerbahçe SK
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	1.00	1.25
Goals per match	1.00	1.50
Goals conceded per match	1.00	2.75
Home / away goals scored	3	0
Home / away goals conceded	2	6
Last 5 points	4	5
Last 5 goals scored	4	6
Last 5 goals conceded	4	11
Win percentage	25%	25%

FK Shakhtar Donetsk recent form

DWLL

Fenerbahçe SK recent form

DLDW

Recent form

FK Shakhtar Donetsk

1W 1D 2L in the last 4 · 4 scored, 4 conceded

Lvs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–1
Lat Inter Milan0–1
Wvs PAE AEK3–1
Dat PSV1–1

Fenerbahçe SK

1W 2D 1L in the last 4 · 6 scored, 11 conceded

Wvs Liverpool FC3–2
Dvs SK Slavia Praha2–2
Lat Aston Villa FC0–6
Dvs AS Roma1–1

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 25 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.