Eredivisie · Matchweek 13

Feyenoord Rotterdam vs SBV Excelsior Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 21 Nov, 17:45 (GMT)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 13
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Feyenoord Rotterdam win81%
Draw12%
SBV Excelsior win8%
Predicted score
3–0
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Under 2.5 goals
23%
BTTS yes
57%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
57%
BTTS no
43%
Expected goals
3.13 – 0.92

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Feyenoord Rotterdam, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Away defensive numbers work against SBV Excelsior, who have shipped goals above the Eredivisie average on the road. Feyenoord Rotterdam's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 3–09.0%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 3–18.2%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 4–07.0%
  • 4–16.4%
  • 1–05.5%
  • 1–15.0%

Team comparison

StatisticFeyenoord RotterdamSBV Excelsior
Matches played1110
Points per match2.000.80
Goals per match3.181.10
Goals conceded per match1.552.70
Home / away goals scored127
Home / away goals conceded59
Last 5 points80
Last 5 goals scored111
Last 5 goals conceded1020
Win percentage55%20%

Feyenoord Rotterdam recent form

WWDDL

SBV Excelsior recent form

LLLLL

Recent form

Feyenoord Rotterdam

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat SC Heerenveen3–5
  • Lvs Inter Milan0–3
  • Dvs Fortuna Sittard1–1
  • Dat PSV1–1
  • Lat Real Betis Balompié0–1

SBV Excelsior

0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 1 scored, 20 conceded

  • Lvs Go Ahead Eagles0–1
  • Lvs FC Twente '650–9
  • Lat Fortuna Sittard0–1
  • Lat SC Heerenveen0–4
  • Lvs FC Groningen1–5

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 17:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Eredivisie

NEC vs PSV

Home

16%

Draw

15%

Away

69%

Predicted score: 1–3Over 2.5: 83%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.