Eredivisie · Matchweek 8

FC Utrecht vs Willem II Tilburg Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 11 Oct, 11:15 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Utrecht win50%
Draw19%
Willem II Tilburg win31%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
82%
Under 2.5 goals
18%
BTTS yes
79%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
Over 3.5 goals
65%
BTTS no
21%
Expected goals
2.50 – 1.96

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Away defensive numbers work against Willem II Tilburg, who have shipped goals above the Eredivisie average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–17.1%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 3–15.9%
  • 3–25.8%
  • 1–15.7%
  • 1–25.5%
  • 2–34.5%
  • 3–33.8%

Team comparison

StatisticFC UtrechtWillem II Tilburg
Matches played55
Points per match1.000.40
Goals per match1.800.80
Goals conceded per match3.602.40
Home / away goals scored42
Home / away goals conceded96
Last 5 points52
Last 5 goals scored94
Last 5 goals conceded1812
Win percentage20%0%

FC Utrecht recent form

DLDWL

Willem II Tilburg recent form

DLDLL

Recent form

FC Utrecht

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 18 conceded

  • Lat Feyenoord Rotterdam0–5
  • Wat SBV Excelsior2–1
  • Dvs Go Ahead Eagles3–3
  • Lvs PSV1–6
  • Dat Sparta Rotterdam3–3

Willem II Tilburg

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 12 conceded

  • Lvs Fortuna Sittard0–1
  • Lat AFC Ajax1–5
  • Dat AZ1–1
  • Lvs SBV Excelsior0–3
  • Dvs SC Heerenveen2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 11:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.