Primeira Liga
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 7
FC Porto vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 20 Sept, 20:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
FC Porto win19%
Draw19%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica win62%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 30%
- BTTS yes
- 65%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 88%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 49%
- BTTS no
- 35%
- Expected goals
- 1.27 – 2.37
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
FC Porto have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Sport Lisboa e Benfica have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Sport Lisboa e Benfica's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.4%
- 1–17.9%
- 0–27.4%
- 1–37.4%
- 0–16.3%
- 2–25.9%
- 0–35.8%
- 2–15.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | FC Porto | Sport Lisboa e Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 10 |
| Points per match | 3.00 | 2.70 |
| Goals per match | 2.56 | 2.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.56 | 0.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 11 | 20 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 15 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 12 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 100% | 90% |
FC Porto recent form
WWWWW
Sport Lisboa e Benfica recent form
LWWWW
Recent form
FC Porto
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 4 conceded
- Wat Casa Pia AC4–1
- Lvs Manchester City FC0–2
- Wvs Moreirense FC2–1
- Wat Académico de Viseu FC3–0
- Wvs FC Arouca2–0
Sport Lisboa e Benfica
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 19 scored, 2 conceded
- Wvs Gil Vicente FC3–1
- Wat Moreirense FC4–0
- Wat CS Marítimo3–0
- Wvs GD Estoril Praia2–1
- Wat Casa Pia AC7–0
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 20:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Home
14%
Draw
24%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 39%BTTS: 38%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.