Primeira Liga · Matchweek 7

FC Porto vs Sport Lisboa e Benfica Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 20 Sept, 20:30 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Porto win19%
Draw19%
Sport Lisboa e Benfica win62%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Under 2.5 goals
30%
BTTS yes
65%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
49%
BTTS no
35%
Expected goals
1.27 – 2.37

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

FC Porto have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Sport Lisboa e Benfica have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Sport Lisboa e Benfica's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.4%
  • 1–17.9%
  • 0–27.4%
  • 1–37.4%
  • 0–16.3%
  • 2–25.9%
  • 0–35.8%
  • 2–15.0%

Team comparison

StatisticFC PortoSport Lisboa e Benfica
Matches played56
Points per match3.002.50
Goals per match2.803.33
Goals conceded per match0.600.83
Home / away goals scored715
Home / away goals conceded23
Last 5 points1512
Last 5 goals scored1413
Last 5 goals conceded35
Win percentage100%83%

FC Porto recent form

WWWWW

Sport Lisboa e Benfica recent form

WWWWL

Recent form

FC Porto

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wat Casa Pia AC4–1
  • Lvs Manchester City FC0–2
  • Wvs Moreirense FC2–1
  • Wat Académico de Viseu FC3–0
  • Wvs FC Arouca2–0

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 19 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wvs Gil Vicente FC3–1
  • Wat Moreirense FC4–0
  • Wat CS Marítimo3–0
  • Wvs GD Estoril Praia2–1
  • Wat Casa Pia AC7–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 20:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 20 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.