UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3

FC Porto vs PSV Prediction

Tue 20 Oct, 20:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Porto win44%

Draw25%

PSV win32%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 53%
Under 2.5 goals: 47%
BTTS yes: 57%

Over 1.5 goals: 77%
Over 3.5 goals: 31%
BTTS no: 43%
Expected goals: 1.54 – 1.28

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees FC Porto's home attacking output as weaker than the UEFA Champions League baseline. The model credits PSV with an above-average away defensive record. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–111.8%
1–09.2%
2–19.1%
0–17.6%
1–27.5%
2–07.1%
0–06.0%
2–25.8%

Team comparison

Statistic	FC Porto	PSV
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	0.75	1.00
Goals per match	1.50	0.75
Goals conceded per match	1.75	1.00
Home / away goals scored	4	1
Home / away goals conceded	4	1
Last 5 points	3	4
Last 5 goals scored	6	3
Last 5 goals conceded	7	4
Win percentage	25%	25%

FC Porto recent form

LLLW

PSV recent form

DLWL

Recent form

FC Porto

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 8 conceded

Lat Real Betis Balompié2–3
Wat CS Marítimo2–1
Wvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica3–1
Wat Casa Pia AC4–1
Lvs Manchester City FC0–2

PSV

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded

Lat ADO Den Haag1–2
Lat RB Leipzig0–1
Wvs SC Heerenveen2–0
Lat FC Twente '652–3
Wvs Sparta Rotterdam4–1

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.