UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3

FC Porto vs PSV Prediction

Tue 20 Oct, 20:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Porto win51%

Draw23%

PSV win26%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 61%
Under 2.5 goals: 39%
BTTS yes: 61%

Over 1.5 goals: 82%
Over 3.5 goals: 39%
BTTS no: 39%
Expected goals: 1.88 – 1.29

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees FC Porto's home attacking output as weaker than the UEFA Champions League baseline. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–110.2%
2–19.6%
1–07.9%
2–07.5%
1–26.6%
2–26.2%
3–16.0%
0–15.4%

Team comparison

Statistic	FC Porto	PSV
Matches played	1	1
Points per match	0.00	1.00
Goals per match	0.00	1.00
Goals conceded per match	2.00	1.00
Home / away goals scored	0	0
Home / away goals conceded	2	0
Last 5 points	0	1
Last 5 goals scored	0	1
Last 5 goals conceded	2	1
Win percentage	0%	0%

FC Porto recent form

PSV recent form

Recent form

FC Porto

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 5 conceded

Wvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica3–1
Wat Casa Pia AC4–1
Lvs Manchester City FC0–2
Wvs Moreirense FC2–1
Wat Académico de Viseu FC3–0

PSV

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 16 scored, 7 conceded

Lat FC Twente '652–3
Wvs Sparta Rotterdam4–1
Dvs FK Shakhtar Donetsk1–1
Wat AFC Ajax3–1
Wat FC Utrecht6–1

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.