UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 5

Inter Milan vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 25 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
Kick-off (local)
Wed 25 Nov, 21:00 (CET)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
Milan, Italy

United Matchday prediction

Inter Milan win40%
Draw22%
VfB Stuttgart win38%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Under 2.5 goals
30%
BTTS yes
70%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Over 3.5 goals
49%
BTTS no
30%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.77

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits VfB Stuttgart with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–18.8%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 2–27.2%
  • 1–05.0%
  • 3–14.9%
  • 0–14.8%
  • 1–34.6%

Team comparison

StatisticInter MilanVfB Stuttgart
Matches played44
Points per match1.501.75
Goals per match2.001.75
Goals conceded per match1.501.00
Home / away goals scored43
Home / away goals conceded42
Last 5 points67
Last 5 goals scored87
Last 5 goals conceded64
Win percentage50%50%

Inter Milan recent form

LLWW

VfB Stuttgart recent form

WWDL

Recent form

Inter Milan

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs Como 19072–0
  • Wat Feyenoord Rotterdam3–0
  • Lat AC Milan1–3
  • Wat Venezia FC2–0
  • Wvs ACF Fiorentina2–1

VfB Stuttgart

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wvs SV Werder Bremen1–0
  • Lat Galatasaray0–2
  • Wat Bayer 04 Leverkusen4–2
  • Lvs Borussia Mönchengladbach2–3
  • Dvs Atlético Madrid1–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 25 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.