Serie A · Matchweek 4

Inter Milan vs Udinese Calcio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 14 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Kick-off (local)
Mon 14 Sept, 20:45 (CEST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
Milan, Italy

United Matchday prediction

Inter Milan win66%
Draw16%
Udinese Calcio win18%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
83%
Under 2.5 goals
17%
BTTS yes
76%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
Over 3.5 goals
67%
BTTS no
24%
Expected goals
2.99 – 1.59

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Inter Milan, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Udinese Calcio's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Inter Milan, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–17.3%
  • 3–17.3%
  • 2–25.8%
  • 3–25.8%
  • 4–15.4%
  • 1–14.9%
  • 2–04.6%
  • 3–04.6%

Team comparison

StatisticInter MilanUdinese Calcio
Matches played1111
Points per match2.550.45
Goals per match2.551.09
Goals conceded per match1.182.27
Home / away goals scored198
Home / away goals conceded711
Last 5 points121
Last 5 goals scored103
Last 5 goals conceded512
Win percentage82%9%

Inter Milan recent form

WWWLW

Udinese Calcio recent form

LLDLL

Recent form

Inter Milan

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat Real Madrid1–2
  • Wvs SSC Napoli3–2
  • Wat Cagliari Calcio1–0
  • Wvs AC Monza4–1
  • Dat Bologna FC 19093–3

Udinese Calcio

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lvs SS Lazio1–2
  • Wat AC Monza3–2
  • Dvs Como 19071–1
  • Lat SSC Napoli0–1
  • Lvs US Cremonese0–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 14 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 24 August 2026
Last updated: 14 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.