Serie A · Matchweek 4

Inter Milan vs Udinese Calcio Prediction

Mon 14 Sept, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Mon 14 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Kick-off (local): Mon 14 Sept, 20:45 (CEST)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 4
Venue: Milan, Italy

United Matchday prediction

Inter Milan win66%

Draw16%

Udinese Calcio win18%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 83%
Under 2.5 goals: 17%
BTTS yes: 76%

Over 1.5 goals: 94%
Over 3.5 goals: 67%
BTTS no: 24%
Expected goals: 2.99 – 1.59

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Inter Milan, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Udinese Calcio's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Inter Milan, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

2–17.3%
3–17.3%
2–25.8%
3–25.8%
4–15.4%
1–14.9%
2–04.6%
3–04.6%

Team comparison

Statistic	Inter Milan	Udinese Calcio
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.60	0.80
Goals per match	3.00	1.60
Goals conceded per match	1.60	2.20
Home / away goals scored	12	6
Home / away goals conceded	6	7
Last 5 points	13	4
Last 5 goals scored	15	8
Last 5 goals conceded	8	11
Win percentage	80%	20%

Inter Milan recent form

WWWWD

Udinese Calcio recent form

DWLLL

Recent form

Inter Milan

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 8 conceded

Lat Real Madrid1–2
Wvs SSC Napoli3–2
Wat Cagliari Calcio1–0
Wvs AC Monza4–1
Dat Bologna FC 19093–3

Udinese Calcio

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

Lvs SS Lazio1–2
Wat AC Monza3–2
Dvs Como 19071–1
Lat SSC Napoli0–1
Lvs US Cremonese0–1

Team news

Inter Milan

All Inter Milan news →

Udinese Calcio

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Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 14 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.