Serie A · Matchweek 6

Inter Milan vs Parma Calcio 1913 Prediction

Sat 10 Oct, 17:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 10 Oct, 17:00 (BST)
Kick-off (local): Sat 10 Oct, 18:00 (CEST)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 6
Venue: Milan, Italy

United Matchday prediction

Inter Milan win83%

Draw10%

Parma Calcio 1913 win7%

Predicted score: 3–1
Over 2.5 goals: 83%
Under 2.5 goals: 17%
BTTS yes: 62%

Over 1.5 goals: 94%
Over 3.5 goals: 66%
BTTS no: 38%
Expected goals: 3.49 – 1.03

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Inter Milan's home scoring output above the Serie A average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Inter Milan, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

3–18.0%
3–07.8%
4–17.0%
2–16.9%
4–06.8%
2–06.7%
5–14.9%
5–04.7%

Team comparison

Statistic	Inter Milan	Parma Calcio 1913
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.60	0.80
Goals per match	3.00	0.80
Goals conceded per match	1.60	1.40
Home / away goals scored	12	1
Home / away goals conceded	6	4
Last 5 points	13	4
Last 5 goals scored	15	4
Last 5 goals conceded	8	7
Win percentage	80%	20%

Inter Milan recent form

WWWWD

Parma Calcio 1913 recent form

LLDLW

Recent form

Inter Milan

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 9 conceded

Dat AS Roma2–2
Wvs Udinese Calcio5–3
Lat Real Madrid1–2
Wvs SSC Napoli3–2
Wat Cagliari Calcio1–0

Parma Calcio 1913

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded

Wvs Genoa CFC2–1
Lat Como 19071–2
Dvs AC Monza1–1
Lat Juventus0–2
Lvs Cagliari Calcio0–1

Team news

Inter Milan

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Parma Calcio 1913

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Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.