Serie A · Matchweek 6

Inter Milan vs Parma Calcio 1913 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 10 Oct, 17:00 (BST)
Kick-off (local)
Sat 10 Oct, 18:00 (CEST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
Milan, Italy

United Matchday prediction

Inter Milan win82%
Draw10%
Parma Calcio 1913 win7%
Predicted score
3–1
Over 2.5 goals
83%
Under 2.5 goals
17%
BTTS yes
62%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
Over 3.5 goals
66%
BTTS no
38%
Expected goals
3.49 – 1.03

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Inter Milan's home scoring output above the Serie A average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Inter Milan, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 3–18.0%
  • 3–07.8%
  • 4–17.0%
  • 2–16.9%
  • 4–06.8%
  • 2–06.7%
  • 5–14.9%
  • 5–04.7%

Team comparison

StatisticInter MilanParma Calcio 1913
Matches played1111
Points per match2.550.73
Goals per match2.550.82
Goals conceded per match1.181.55
Home / away goals scored195
Home / away goals conceded79
Last 5 points124
Last 5 goals scored105
Last 5 goals conceded57
Win percentage82%18%

Inter Milan recent form

WWWLW

Parma Calcio 1913 recent form

LLDWL

Recent form

Inter Milan

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 9 conceded

  • Dat AS Roma2–2
  • Wvs Udinese Calcio5–3
  • Lat Real Madrid1–2
  • Wvs SSC Napoli3–2
  • Wat Cagliari Calcio1–0

Parma Calcio 1913

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Genoa CFC2–1
  • Lat Como 19071–2
  • Dvs AC Monza1–1
  • Lat Juventus0–2
  • Lvs Cagliari Calcio0–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.