Serie A · Matchweek 13

Inter Milan vs Genoa CFC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 28 Nov, 19:45 (GMT)
Kick-off (local)
Sat 28 Nov, 20:45 (CET)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 13
Venue
Milan, Italy

United Matchday prediction

Inter Milan win78%
Draw14%
Genoa CFC win9%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
72%
Under 2.5 goals
28%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
Over 3.5 goals
51%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
2.85 – 0.89

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Inter Milan have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Inter Milan's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–09.7%
  • 3–09.2%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 3–18.2%
  • 1–06.8%
  • 4–06.5%
  • 1–16.1%
  • 4–15.8%

Team comparison

StatisticInter MilanGenoa CFC
Matches played1111
Points per match2.551.18
Goals per match2.551.00
Goals conceded per match1.181.45
Home / away goals scored193
Home / away goals conceded76
Last 5 points129
Last 5 goals scored106
Last 5 goals conceded55
Win percentage82%36%

Inter Milan recent form

WWWLW

Genoa CFC recent form

LWWWL

Recent form

Inter Milan

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs Como 19072–0
  • Wat Feyenoord Rotterdam3–0
  • Lat AC Milan1–3
  • Wat Venezia FC2–0
  • Wvs ACF Fiorentina2–1

Genoa CFC

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded

  • Lvs AC Milan1–2
  • Wat US Lecce2–1
  • Wvs Juventus2–0
  • Wvs Venezia FC1–0
  • Lat AS Roma0–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 28 Nov, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.