UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3

Inter Milan vs FK Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Kick-off (local)
Wed 21 Oct, 21:00 (CEST)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
Milan, Italy

United Matchday prediction

Inter Milan win54%
Draw22%
FK Shakhtar Donetsk win25%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Under 2.5 goals
36%
BTTS yes
63%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
42%
BTTS no
37%
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.29

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.6%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–07.5%
  • 2–07.5%
  • 3–16.4%
  • 1–26.2%
  • 2–26.2%
  • 3–05.0%

Team comparison

StatisticInter MilanFK Shakhtar Donetsk
Matches played11
Points per match0.001.00
Goals per match1.001.00
Goals conceded per match2.001.00
Home / away goals scored01
Home / away goals conceded01
Last 5 points01
Last 5 goals scored11
Last 5 goals conceded21
Win percentage0%0%

Inter Milan recent form

L

FK Shakhtar Donetsk recent form

D

Recent form

Inter Milan

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 9 conceded

  • Dat AS Roma2–2
  • Wvs Udinese Calcio5–3
  • Lat Real Madrid1–2
  • Wvs SSC Napoli3–2
  • Wat Cagliari Calcio1–0

FK Shakhtar Donetsk

0W 1D 0L in the last 1 · 1 scored, 1 conceded

  • Dat PSV1–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 September 2026
Last updated: 30 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.