UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge KV vs Liverpool FC
Home
46%
Draw
17%
Away
37%
- Predicted score: 2–2Over 2.5: 93%BTTS: 89%
Low confidenceFull prediction
UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3
Inter Milan vs FK Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Wed 21 Oct, 21:00 (CEST)
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- Milan, Italy
United Matchday prediction
Inter Milan win37%
Draw20%
FK Shakhtar Donetsk win43%
- Predicted score
- 2–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 79%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 21%
- BTTS yes
- 77%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 92%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 60%
- BTTS no
- 23%
- Expected goals
- 2.01 – 2.18
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
FK Shakhtar Donetsk have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. FK Shakhtar Donetsk arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–27.3%
- 1–27.3%
- 2–16.7%
- 1–16.6%
- 2–35.3%
- 1–35.3%
- 3–24.9%
- 3–14.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Inter Milan | FK Shakhtar Donetsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 4 | 4 |
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 1 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 2 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 25% |
Inter Milan recent form
LLWW
FK Shakhtar Donetsk recent form
DWLL
Recent form
Inter Milan
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 16 scored, 10 conceded
- Wat Bologna FC 19093–1
- Lvs Club Brugge KV3–4
- Wvs Parma Calcio 19133–0
- Dat AS Roma2–2
- Wvs Udinese Calcio5–3
FK Shakhtar Donetsk
1W 1D 0L in the last 2 · 4 scored, 2 conceded
- Wvs PAE AEK3–1
- Dat PSV1–1
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 September 2026
Last updated: 21 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint-Germain vs AS Roma
Home
82%
Draw
9%
Away
8%
- Predicted score: 4–1Over 2.5: 92%BTTS: 77%
Low confidenceFull prediction
UEFA Champions League
Lille OSC vs Bayern Munich
Home
16%
Draw
15%
Away
70%
- Predicted score: 1–3Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 75%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.