Eredivisie
NEC vs PSV
Home
16%
Draw
15%
Away
69%
- Predicted score: 1–3Over 2.5: 83%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 14
FC Groningen vs Willem II Tilburg Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 27 Nov, 19:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 14
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
FC Groningen win78%
Draw12%
Willem II Tilburg win10%
- Predicted score
- 3–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 88%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 12%
- BTTS yes
- 73%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 96%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 74%
- BTTS no
- 27%
- Expected goals
- 3.63 – 1.40
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
FC Groningen have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Away defensive numbers work against Willem II Tilburg, who have shipped goals above the Eredivisie average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–17.4%
- 4–16.7%
- 2–16.1%
- 3–05.3%
- 3–25.2%
- 5–14.9%
- 4–04.8%
- 4–24.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | FC Groningen | Willem II Tilburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.09 | 0.30 |
| Goals per match | 2.45 | 0.90 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.45 | 3.20 |
| Home / away goals scored | 11 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 13 | 19 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 1 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 14 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 15 | 20 |
| Win percentage | 27% | 0% |
FC Groningen recent form
WLDLL
Willem II Tilburg recent form
LLLLD
Recent form
FC Groningen
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 15 conceded
- Lat AZ3–4
- Lvs Sparta Rotterdam2–3
- Dat NEC2–2
- Lvs AFC Ajax2–5
- Wat SBV Excelsior5–1
Willem II Tilburg
0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 20 conceded
- Dvs PEC Zwolle1–1
- Lat PSV0–7
- Lvs SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden1–6
- Lat Sparta Rotterdam2–3
- Lat FC Utrecht1–3
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Fri 27 Nov, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 6 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen
Home
24%
Draw
17%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 80%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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FC Twente '65 vs Willem II Tilburg
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91%
Draw
6%
Away
3%
- Predicted score: 4–0Over 2.5: 86%BTTS: 54%
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Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard
Home
41%
Draw
21%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.