Eredivisie · Matchweek 11

FC Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 1 Nov, 15:45 (GMT+0)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Groningen win72%
Draw14%
Sparta Rotterdam win14%
Predicted score
3–1
Over 2.5 goals
85%
Under 2.5 goals
15%
BTTS yes
74%
Over 1.5 goals
95%
Over 3.5 goals
69%
BTTS no
26%
Expected goals
3.22 – 1.46

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour FC Groningen, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Sparta Rotterdam have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 3–17.6%
  • 2–17.0%
  • 4–16.1%
  • 3–25.5%
  • 3–05.2%
  • 2–25.2%
  • 2–04.8%
  • 4–24.5%

Team comparison

StatisticFC GroningenSparta Rotterdam
Matches played76
Points per match1.570.50
Goals per match2.571.67
Goals conceded per match1.863.00
Home / away goals scored75
Home / away goals conceded59
Last 5 points82
Last 5 goals scored137
Last 5 goals conceded715
Win percentage43%0%

FC Groningen recent form

LDDWW

Sparta Rotterdam recent form

LDLLD

Recent form

FC Groningen

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wat SBV Excelsior5–1
  • Wvs PEC Zwolle3–0
  • Dat Go Ahead Eagles1–1
  • Dvs FC Twente '652–2
  • Lvs Fortuna Sittard2–3

Sparta Rotterdam

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 15 conceded

  • Dat Go Ahead Eagles3–3
  • Lvs SC Heerenveen0–4
  • Lat PSV1–4
  • Dvs PEC Zwolle2–2
  • Lat SBV Excelsior1–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 15:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 October 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
590
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
56.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.0%
Exact score
10.8%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.