Eredivisie · Matchweek 7

FC Groningen vs PEC Zwolle Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 18 Sept, 19:00 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Groningen win48%
Draw20%
PEC Zwolle win32%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Under 2.5 goals
23%
BTTS yes
75%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
58%
BTTS no
25%
Expected goals
2.24 – 1.82

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–17.9%
  • 2–27.2%
  • 1–17.0%
  • 1–26.4%
  • 3–15.9%
  • 3–25.4%
  • 2–34.4%
  • 2–04.3%

Team comparison

StatisticFC GroningenPEC Zwolle
Matches played66
Points per match1.330.67
Goals per match2.171.00
Goals conceded per match2.003.00
Home / away goals scored75
Home / away goals conceded58
Last 5 points54
Last 5 goals scored95
Last 5 goals conceded1115
Win percentage33%17%

FC Groningen recent form

LLDDW

PEC Zwolle recent form

WLDLL

Recent form

FC Groningen

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 12 conceded

  • Dat Go Ahead Eagles1–1
  • Dvs FC Twente '652–2
  • Lvs Fortuna Sittard2–3
  • Lat PSV1–5
  • Wat ADO Den Haag4–1

PEC Zwolle

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 15 conceded

  • Lvs Feyenoord Rotterdam0–7
  • Dat Sparta Rotterdam2–2
  • Lvs NEC1–3
  • Wat SC Heerenveen2–0
  • Lat FC Twente '651–3

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Fri 18 Sept, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 28 August 2026
Last updated: 18 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.