UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge KV vs Liverpool FC
Home
46%
Draw
17%
Away
37%
- Predicted score: 2–2Over 2.5: 93%BTTS: 89%
Low confidenceFull prediction
UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3
Bayern Munich vs Arsenal FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Wed 21 Oct, 21:00 (CEST)
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- Munich, Germany
United Matchday prediction
Bayern Munich win60%
Draw18%
Arsenal FC win22%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 78%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS yes
- 73%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 92%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 59%
- BTTS no
- 27%
- Expected goals
- 2.57 – 1.55
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Bayern Munich have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model credits Arsenal FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Bayern Munich's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.3%
- 3–17.1%
- 1–16.5%
- 2–26.4%
- 3–25.5%
- 2–05.4%
- 1–25.0%
- 3–04.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Bayern Munich | Arsenal FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 4 | 4 |
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Goals per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 12 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 75% |
Bayern Munich recent form
WDDW
Arsenal FC recent form
WWDW
Recent form
Bayern Munich
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 20 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs RB Leipzig6–1
- Dat Viking FK3–3
- Dat FC Augsburg2–2
- Wvs 1. FC Union Berlin7–0
- Wat SV 07 Elversberg2–1
Arsenal FC
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 4 conceded
- Wat Nottingham Forest FC1–0
- Wvs Lille OSC3–0
- Wvs Leeds United FC2–1
- Lat Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–3
- Wat Sunderland AFC2–0
Team news
Bayern Munich
Arsenal FC
- England squad announcement: Arsenal boss Mikel Arteta on Ben White recall, Gunners in the England squad and No
- Slavia Prague 1-2 Arsenal: Noni Madueke and Viktor Gyokeres on target as Gunners survive second-half scare
- Papers: Arteta using NASA to help fix Arsenal's injury woes
- Liverpool's unwanted record highlights creativity issue
Where to watch (UK)
UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 September 2026
Last updated: 21 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint-Germain vs AS Roma
Home
82%
Draw
9%
Away
8%
- Predicted score: 4–1Over 2.5: 92%BTTS: 77%
Low confidenceFull prediction
UEFA Champions League
Lille OSC vs Bayern Munich
Home
16%
Draw
15%
Away
70%
- Predicted score: 1–3Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 75%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.