Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 13
Barcelona vs Villarreal CF Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 22 Nov, 13:00 (GMT)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sun 22 Nov, 14:00 (CET)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- Barcelona, Spain
United Matchday prediction
Barcelona win77%
Draw13%
Villarreal CF win11%
- Predicted score
- 3–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 82%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 18%
- BTTS yes
- 67%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 93%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 64%
- BTTS no
- 33%
- Expected goals
- 3.23 – 1.20
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Barcelona, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Villarreal CF have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Barcelona, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–18.1%
- 2–17.5%
- 3–06.7%
- 4–16.5%
- 2–06.3%
- 4–05.4%
- 3–24.9%
- 1–14.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Barcelona | Villarreal CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 12 | 12 |
| Points per match | 2.75 | 1.25 |
| Goals per match | 4.00 | 1.42 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.08 | 1.25 |
| Home / away goals scored | 24 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 17 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 92% | 33% |
Barcelona recent form
WWLWW
Villarreal CF recent form
LDWLW
Recent form
Barcelona
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 8 conceded
- Wat Atlético Madrid2–1
- Wvs Aston Villa FC3–0
- Wvs Deportivo Alavés6–1
- Lvs Real Madrid1–2
- Lat Paris Saint-Germain2–4
Villarreal CF
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 12 conceded
- Wvs Getafe CF2–0
- Lvs Paris Saint-Germain0–6
- Lvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona0–1
- Wat Valencia CF2–1
- Lat Liverpool FC3–4
Team news
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 1 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 49%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Real Madrid vs RC Celta de Vigo
Home
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Draw
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Away
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CA Osasuna vs Málaga CF
Home
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Draw
28%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.