Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 6
Barcelona vs Real Racing Club de Santander Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 16 Sept, 20:30 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Wed 16 Sept, 21:30 (CEST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- Barcelona, Spain
United Matchday prediction
Barcelona win85%
Draw9%
Real Racing Club de Santander win6%
- Predicted score
- 3–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 86%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 14%
- BTTS yes
- 64%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 95%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 71%
- BTTS no
- 36%
- Expected goals
- 3.82 – 1.06
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates Barcelona's home scoring output above the Primera Division average. The model expects fewer away goals given Barcelona's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Barcelona, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–17.6%
- 4–17.3%
- 3–07.2%
- 4–06.9%
- 2–16.0%
- 2–05.7%
- 5–15.6%
- 5–05.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Barcelona | Real Racing Club de Santander |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 12 | 12 |
| Points per match | 2.75 | 1.17 |
| Goals per match | 4.00 | 1.42 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.08 | 2.50 |
| Home / away goals scored | 24 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 19 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 17 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 92% | 33% |
Barcelona recent form
WWLWW
Real Racing Club de Santander recent form
DLWLW
Recent form
Barcelona
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 21 scored, 5 conceded
- Wat Levante UD4–2
- Wvs Feyenoord Rotterdam5–1
- Wat Valencia CF5–0
- Wvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid5–2
- Wvs Athletic Club2–0
Real Racing Club de Santander
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded
- Wvs Deportivo Alavés2–1
- Lat Rayo Vallecano de Madrid2–3
- Wvs Elche CF3–2
- Lat Getafe CF0–1
- Dvs Villarreal CF2–2
Team news
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 August 2026
Last updated: 16 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF
Home
47%
Draw
26%
Away
27%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 49%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Real Madrid vs RC Celta de Vigo
Home
80%
Draw
15%
Away
5%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 31%
High confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Málaga CF
Home
50%
Draw
28%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 36%BTTS: 40%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.