Primera Division
RC Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés
Home
46%
Draw
27%
Away
27%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 43%BTTS: 48%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 11
Barcelona vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 (GMT+0)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sat 31 Oct, 21:00 (CET)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- Barcelona, Spain
United Matchday prediction
Barcelona win86%
Draw9%
Deportivo Alavés win5%
- Predicted score
- 3–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 80%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 20%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 93%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 62%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 3.52 – 0.81
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Barcelona have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Deportivo Alavés have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Barcelona's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–09.7%
- 4–08.5%
- 2–08.3%
- 3–17.8%
- 4–16.9%
- 2–16.7%
- 5–06.0%
- 5–14.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Barcelona | Deportivo Alavés |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 8 | 7 |
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.14 |
| Goals per match | 4.25 | 1.29 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.88 | 1.14 |
| Home / away goals scored | 17 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 15 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 22 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 100% | 29% |
Barcelona recent form
WWWWW
Deportivo Alavés recent form
WLLDL
Recent form
Barcelona
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 22 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs Getafe CF3–0
- Wat Sevilla FC3–1
- Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander7–2
- Wat Levante UD4–2
- Wvs Feyenoord Rotterdam5–1
Deportivo Alavés
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded
- Lvs Atlético Madrid1–2
- Dat Athletic Club0–0
- Lvs Valencia CF0–1
- Lat Real Racing Club de Santander1–2
- Wvs CA Osasuna5–2
Team news
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 10 October 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 567
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.7%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.8%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.0%
- Exact score
- 10.9%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga CF
Home
68%
Draw
21%
Away
11%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 40%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Athletic Club vs Getafe CF
Home
48%
Draw
31%
Away
21%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 29%BTTS: 34%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Villarreal CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
46%
Draw
23%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 63%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.