Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 23
Barcelona vs Atlético Madrid Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 2 Dec, 20:30 (GMT)
- Kick-off (local)
- Wed 2 Dec, 21:30 (CET)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 23
- Venue
- Barcelona, Spain
United Matchday prediction
Barcelona win60%
Draw18%
Atlético Madrid win22%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 79%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 21%
- BTTS yes
- 74%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 92%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 61%
- BTTS no
- 26%
- Expected goals
- 2.63 – 1.59
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Barcelona, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model credits Atlético Madrid with an above-average away defensive record. Atlético Madrid carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.1%
- 3–17.1%
- 2–26.4%
- 1–16.1%
- 3–25.6%
- 2–05.1%
- 1–24.9%
- 4–14.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Barcelona | Atlético Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 12 | 12 |
| Points per match | 2.75 | 2.33 |
| Goals per match | 4.00 | 1.92 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.08 | 0.83 |
| Home / away goals scored | 24 | 11 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 17 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 92% | 75% |
Barcelona recent form
WWLWW
Atlético Madrid recent form
WWWWL
Recent form
Barcelona
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 8 conceded
- Wat Atlético Madrid2–1
- Wvs Aston Villa FC3–0
- Wvs Deportivo Alavés6–1
- Lvs Real Madrid1–2
- Lat Paris Saint-Germain2–4
Atlético Madrid
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 5 conceded
- Lvs Barcelona1–2
- Lvs Bayern Munich0–2
- Wat Levante UD2–0
- Wvs RC Deportivo La Coruña1–0
- Dat VfB Stuttgart1–1
Team news
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 49%BTTS: 52%
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Draw
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.