Primeira Liga
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 12
FC Arouca vs Rio Ave FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 28 Nov, 15:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
FC Arouca win74%
Draw17%
Rio Ave FC win9%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 46%
- BTTS yes
- 41%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 78%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 32%
- BTTS no
- 59%
- Expected goals
- 2.24 – 0.62
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour FC Arouca, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Rio Ave FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given FC Arouca's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour FC Arouca, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–014.3%
- 1–012.8%
- 3–010.7%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–18.0%
- 3–16.7%
- 4–06.0%
- 0–05.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | FC Arouca | Rio Ave FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 9 |
| Points per match | 1.70 | 0.78 |
| Goals per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 2.33 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 22% |
FC Arouca recent form
DWWWL
Rio Ave FC recent form
LWLLL
Recent form
FC Arouca
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 3 conceded
- Lat FC Famalicão0–1
- Wvs CD Nacional1–0
- Wat FC Alverca1–0
- Wvs CF Estrela da Amadora1–0
- Dat Sporting Clube de Portugal2–2
Rio Ave FC
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 10 conceded
- Lvs Sporting Clube de Braga0–1
- Lat Académico de Viseu FC1–2
- Lvs FC Famalicão0–4
- Wvs CD Nacional3–2
- Lat FC Alverca0–1
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 28 Nov, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Home
14%
Draw
24%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 39%BTTS: 38%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.