Primeira Liga
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 6
FC Arouca vs CD Santa Clara Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 13 Sept, 18:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
FC Arouca win49%
Draw24%
CD Santa Clara win26%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 45%
- BTTS yes
- 56%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 78%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 32%
- BTTS no
- 44%
- Expected goals
- 1.69 – 1.17
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour FC Arouca, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. CD Santa Clara have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. FC Arouca's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. CD Santa Clara arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.2%
- 0–16.7%
- 1–26.6%
- 0–05.7%
- 2–25.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | FC Arouca | CD Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.70 | 1.80 |
| Goals per match | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 2 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 50% |
FC Arouca recent form
DWWWL
CD Santa Clara recent form
DWLWL
Recent form
FC Arouca
2W 1D 1L in the last 4 · 6 scored, 3 conceded
- Dat GD Estoril Praia0–0
- Wvs CS Marítimo2–1
- Lat FC Porto0–2
- Wvs Moreirense FC4–0
CD Santa Clara
2W 2D 0L in the last 4 · 8 scored, 3 conceded
- Wvs Rio Ave FC4–0
- Dat FC Alverca1–1
- Wvs FC Famalicão1–0
- Dvs CD Nacional2–2
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 13 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Home
14%
Draw
24%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 39%BTTS: 38%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.