Primeira Liga · Matchweek 7

FC Alverca vs Rio Ave FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 19 Sept, 18:00 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Alverca win47%
Draw24%
Rio Ave FC win29%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Under 2.5 goals
41%
BTTS yes
60%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 3.5 goals
36%
BTTS no
40%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.31

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Rio Ave FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 2–07.1%
  • 1–27.1%
  • 0–16.3%
  • 2–26.1%
  • 3–15.4%

Team comparison

StatisticFC AlvercaRio Ave FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.400.80
Goals per match1.401.00
Goals conceded per match1.402.40
Home / away goals scored32
Home / away goals conceded35
Last 5 points74
Last 5 goals scored75
Last 5 goals conceded712
Win percentage40%20%

FC Alverca recent form

LDLWW

Rio Ave FC recent form

WLLDL

Recent form

FC Alverca

1W 1D 2L in the last 4 · 6 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wat CD Nacional3–1
  • Lvs Sporting Clube de Braga1–2
  • Dvs CD Santa Clara1–1
  • Lat Sporting Clube de Portugal1–3

Rio Ave FC

1W 1D 2L in the last 4 · 5 scored, 11 conceded

  • Dvs CF Estrela da Amadora3–3
  • Lat CD Santa Clara0–4
  • Lvs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–4
  • Wat GD Estoril Praia2–0

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.