Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 4
Elche CF vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 7 Sept, 20:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Elche CF win30%
Draw24%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol win46%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS yes
- 61%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 81%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS no
- 39%
- Expected goals
- 1.34 – 1.72
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Elche CF have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–18.1%
- 2–17.3%
- 0–26.9%
- 1–06.3%
- 2–26.2%
- 1–35.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Elche CF | Real Sociedad de Fútbol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 12 | 12 |
| Points per match | 0.83 | 1.83 |
| Goals per match | 1.17 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 13 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 14 | 13 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 17% | 58% |
Elche CF recent form
DDWLL
Real Sociedad de Fútbol recent form
WWWLW
Recent form
Elche CF
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 10 conceded
- Lat Real Racing Club de Santander2–3
- Lvs Barcelona0–5
- Dat RC Deportivo La Coruña1–1
- Dat Girona FC1–1
- Wvs Getafe CF1–0
Real Sociedad de Fútbol
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded
- Dvs RC Celta de Vigo0–0
- Wvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona2–1
- Lat Real Madrid1–4
- Lat Real Betis Balompié0–1
- Dat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona1–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 7 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Home
47%
Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 49%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Home
80%
Draw
15%
Away
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CA Osasuna vs Málaga CF
Home
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Draw
28%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.