Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 4
Elche CF vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 7 Sept, 20:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Elche CF win30%
Draw24%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol win46%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS yes
- 61%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 81%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS no
- 39%
- Expected goals
- 1.34 – 1.72
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Elche CF have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–18.1%
- 2–17.3%
- 0–26.9%
- 1–06.3%
- 2–26.2%
- 1–35.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Elche CF | Real Sociedad de Fútbol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 0.71 | 1.43 |
| Goals per match | 1.57 | 1.29 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.43 | 1.86 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 11 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 11 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 43% |
Elche CF recent form
LLDLW
Real Sociedad de Fútbol recent form
WDWLW
Recent form
Elche CF
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 10 conceded
- Lat Real Racing Club de Santander2–3
- Lvs Barcelona0–5
- Dat RC Deportivo La Coruña1–1
- Dat Girona FC1–1
- Wvs Getafe CF1–0
Real Sociedad de Fútbol
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded
- Dvs RC Celta de Vigo0–0
- Wvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona2–1
- Lat Real Madrid1–4
- Lat Real Betis Balompié0–1
- Dat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona1–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 7 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
35%
Draw
21%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.