Primera Division
Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Home
27%
Draw
28%
Away
45%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 6
Elche CF vs Real Madrid Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 15 Sept, 20:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Elche CF win9%
Draw12%
Real Madrid win79%
- Predicted score
- 0–3
- Over 2.5 goals
- 77%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 23%
- BTTS yes
- 60%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 91%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 58%
- BTTS no
- 40%
- Expected goals
- 0.99 – 3.09
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Elche CF's home attacking output as weaker than the Primera Division baseline. The model credits Real Madrid with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Real Madrid arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–38.4%
- 1–38.3%
- 0–28.1%
- 1–28.0%
- 0–46.5%
- 1–46.4%
- 0–15.3%
- 1–15.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Elche CF | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 0.71 | 2.14 |
| Goals per match | 1.57 | 2.57 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.43 | 1.14 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 11 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 11 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 71% |
Elche CF recent form
LLDLW
Real Madrid recent form
WLWWL
Recent form
Elche CF
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 13 conceded
- Dat Athletic Club1–1
- Lvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol2–3
- Lat Real Racing Club de Santander2–3
- Lvs Barcelona0–5
- Dat RC Deportivo La Coruña1–1
Real Madrid
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid4–1
- Wvs Inter Milan2–1
- Lat Real Betis Balompié0–1
- Wvs Málaga CF4–0
- Wvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol4–1
Team news
Real Madrid
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 August 2026
Last updated: 15 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Real Racing Club de Santander vs Valencia CF
Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 61%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Levante UD vs Sevilla FC
Home
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Draw
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Away
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CA Osasuna vs Real Racing Club de Santander
Home
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Draw
23%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.