Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 14
Elche CF vs Atlético Madrid Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 28 Nov, 17:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 14
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Elche CF win9%
Draw16%
Atlético Madrid win75%
- Predicted score
- 0–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS yes
- 46%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 81%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS no
- 54%
- Expected goals
- 0.71 – 2.38
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Elche CF have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Atlético Madrid have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Atlético Madrid's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–212.9%
- 0–110.8%
- 0–310.2%
- 1–29.2%
- 1–17.7%
- 1–37.3%
- 0–46.1%
- 0–04.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Elche CF | Atlético Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 12 | 12 |
| Points per match | 0.83 | 2.33 |
| Goals per match | 1.17 | 1.92 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 0.83 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 11 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 14 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 17% | 75% |
Elche CF recent form
DDWLL
Atlético Madrid recent form
WWWWL
Recent form
Elche CF
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 3 conceded
- Lvs Real Betis Balompié0–2
- Lvs Valencia CF0–1
- Wat Rayo Vallecano de Madrid3–0
- Dat Villarreal CF0–0
- Dvs RC Celta de Vigo0–0
Atlético Madrid
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 5 conceded
- Lvs Barcelona1–2
- Lvs Bayern Munich0–2
- Wat Levante UD2–0
- Wvs RC Deportivo La Coruña1–0
- Dat VfB Stuttgart1–1
Team news
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF
Home
47%
Draw
26%
Away
27%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 49%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Real Madrid vs RC Celta de Vigo
Home
80%
Draw
15%
Away
5%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 31%
High confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Málaga CF
Home
50%
Draw
28%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 36%BTTS: 40%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.