Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 33

EC Bahia vs São Paulo FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Thu 29 Oct, 00:30 (GMT+0)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 33
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

EC Bahia win71%
Draw18%
São Paulo FC win11%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Under 2.5 goals
41%
BTTS yes
49%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 3.5 goals
36%
BTTS no
51%
Expected goals
2.27 – 0.78

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates EC Bahia's home scoring output above the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour EC Bahia, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–012.2%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 3–09.2%
  • 1–18.4%
  • 3–17.2%
  • 4–05.2%
  • 0–04.7%

Team comparison

StatisticEC BahiaSão Paulo FC
Matches played68
Points per match2.171.25
Goals per match2.330.88
Goals conceded per match1.671.13
Home / away goals scored50
Home / away goals conceded35
Last 5 points126
Last 5 goals scored114
Last 5 goals conceded76
Win percentage67%38%

EC Bahia recent form

WWWWL

São Paulo FC recent form

WLWLL

Recent form

EC Bahia

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat CA Paranaense1–2
  • Wvs Clube do Remo2–1
  • Wat RB Bragantino3–2
  • Wvs SC Internacional3–2
  • Wat EC Vitória2–0

São Paulo FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat Cruzeiro EC0–2
  • Lvs Santos FC1–2
  • Wvs SC Internacional1–0
  • Lat SE Palmeiras0–2
  • Wvs CA Mineiro2–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 8 October 2026
Last updated: 8 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
518
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.3%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.5%
Exact score
11.2%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.