Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 32

CR Vasco da Gama vs SC Corinthians Paulista Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 24 Oct, 22:30 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 32
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CR Vasco da Gama win69%
Draw17%
SC Corinthians Paulista win14%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Under 2.5 goals
32%
BTTS yes
59%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 3.5 goals
46%
BTTS no
41%
Expected goals
2.47 – 1.03

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour CR Vasco da Gama, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour CR Vasco da Gama, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–09.3%
  • 3–17.8%
  • 1–17.7%
  • 3–07.6%
  • 1–07.5%
  • 2–24.9%
  • 4–14.8%

Team comparison

StatisticCR Vasco da GamaSC Corinthians Paulista
Matches played66
Points per match1.500.00
Goals per match1.830.83
Goals conceded per match1.672.00
Home / away goals scored82
Home / away goals conceded44
Last 5 points90
Last 5 goals scored114
Last 5 goals conceded710
Win percentage50%0%

CR Vasco da Gama recent form

LWLWW

SC Corinthians Paulista recent form

LLLLL

Recent form

CR Vasco da Gama

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Coritiba FBC5–0
  • Wat Grêmio FBPA2–1
  • Lat Fluminense FC0–1
  • Wvs Cruzeiro EC3–1
  • Lat SE Palmeiras1–4

SC Corinthians Paulista

0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lvs Fluminense FC1–3
  • Lat Flamengo1–2
  • Lvs Chapecoense AF1–2
  • Lvs Santos FC0–1
  • Lat Coritiba FBC1–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 October 2026
Last updated: 4 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
512
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
57.4%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.