Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 32

Chapecoense AF vs Fluminense FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 24 Oct, 23:30 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 32
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Chapecoense AF win34%
Draw21%
Fluminense FC win45%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
76%
Under 2.5 goals
24%
BTTS yes
74%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
56%
BTTS no
26%
Expected goals
1.84 – 2.12

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Fluminense FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Fluminense FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–27.9%
  • 1–17.4%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 2–16.8%
  • 1–35.6%
  • 2–35.1%
  • 3–24.4%
  • 0–24.3%

Team comparison

StatisticChapecoense AFFluminense FC
Matches played65
Points per match1.332.00
Goals per match1.502.00
Goals conceded per match1.671.60
Home / away goals scored57
Home / away goals conceded57
Last 5 points710
Last 5 goals scored610
Last 5 goals conceded78
Win percentage33%60%

Chapecoense AF recent form

WLWLD

Fluminense FC recent form

WDWLW

Recent form

Chapecoense AF

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dat CA Mineiro1–1
  • Lvs SC Internacional1–2
  • Wat SC Corinthians Paulista2–1
  • Lat Grêmio FBPA1–3
  • Wvs São Paulo FC1–0

Fluminense FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wat SC Corinthians Paulista3–1
  • Lat CA Mineiro1–3
  • Wvs CR Vasco da Gama1–0
  • Dat CA Paranaense3–3
  • Wvs Clube do Remo2–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 October 2026
Last updated: 4 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
512
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
57.4%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.