Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 9
Derby County FC vs Wrexham AFC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Derby County FC win31%
Draw26%
Wrexham AFC win43%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 50%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 75%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 28%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 1.21 – 1.47
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Derby County FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.3%
- 0–27.4%
- 2–17.4%
- 0–06.9%
- 2–25.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Derby County FC | Wrexham AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 14 | 15 |
| Points per match | 0.71 | 1.20 |
| Goals per match | 0.93 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 15 | 11 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 11 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 27% |
Derby County FC recent form
LDLLW
Wrexham AFC recent form
WLLWD
Recent form
Derby County FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat Burnley FC1–1
- Lvs Birmingham City FC1–2
- Lvs West Bromwich Albion FC0–1
- Lat West Ham United FC0–3
- Wat Portsmouth FC2–0
Wrexham AFC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded
- Wvs Southampton FC2–1
- Lat West Ham United FC0–6
- Dvs Burnley FC1–1
- Dat Swansea City AFC0–0
- Wat Millwall FC3–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Championship
West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.