Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 9
Derby County FC vs Wrexham AFC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Derby County FC win31%
Draw26%
Wrexham AFC win43%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 50%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 75%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 28%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 1.21 – 1.47
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Derby County FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.3%
- 0–27.4%
- 2–17.4%
- 0–06.9%
- 2–25.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Derby County FC | Wrexham AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 8 |
| Points per match | 0.71 | 1.25 |
| Goals per match | 0.86 | 1.13 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.71 | 1.50 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 25% |
Derby County FC recent form
WLLLD
Wrexham AFC recent form
WDDLW
Recent form
Derby County FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat Burnley FC1–1
- Lvs Birmingham City FC1–2
- Lvs West Bromwich Albion FC0–1
- Lat West Ham United FC0–3
- Wat Portsmouth FC2–0
Wrexham AFC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded
- Wvs Southampton FC2–1
- Lat West Ham United FC0–6
- Dvs Burnley FC1–1
- Dat Swansea City AFC0–0
- Wat Millwall FC3–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Championship
Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
18%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
74%
Draw
14%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 63%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.