Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 6
Derby County FC vs West Bromwich Albion FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 9 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Derby County FC win40%
Draw23%
West Bromwich Albion FC win37%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 34%
- BTTS yes
- 66%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 85%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 44%
- BTTS no
- 34%
- Expected goals
- 1.73 – 1.65
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Derby County FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. West Bromwich Albion FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.7%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.0%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–05.9%
- 0–15.6%
- 2–05.1%
- 3–14.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Derby County FC | West Bromwich Albion FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 0.71 | 1.57 |
| Goals per match | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.71 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 43% |
Derby County FC recent form
WLLLD
West Bromwich Albion FC recent form
DWWDL
Recent form
Derby County FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 10 conceded
- Lat West Ham United FC0–3
- Wat Portsmouth FC2–0
- Lvs Swansea City AFC0–3
- Dvs Cardiff City FC2–2
- Lvs Sheffield United FC1–2
West Bromwich Albion FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs Watford FC1–0
- Dvs Charlton Athletic FC1–1
- Lat Middlesbrough FC1–3
- Wvs Burnley FC3–1
- Lat Sheffield Wednesday FC1–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 9 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
18%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
74%
Draw
14%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 63%
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Championship
Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.