Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 7
Derby County FC vs Birmingham City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 12:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Derby County FC win28%
Draw24%
Birmingham City FC win48%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 44%
- BTTS yes
- 58%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 79%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 33%
- BTTS no
- 42%
- Expected goals
- 1.23 – 1.68
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Derby County FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Birmingham City FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–19.1%
- 0–27.7%
- 2–16.9%
- 1–06.7%
- 2–25.8%
- 0–05.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Derby County FC | Birmingham City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 0.71 | 1.43 |
| Goals per match | 0.86 | 1.71 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.71 | 1.57 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 29% |
Derby County FC recent form
WLLLD
Birmingham City FC recent form
DDLWD
Recent form
Derby County FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 9 conceded
- Lvs West Bromwich Albion FC0–1
- Lat West Ham United FC0–3
- Wat Portsmouth FC2–0
- Lvs Swansea City AFC0–3
- Dvs Cardiff City FC2–2
Birmingham City FC
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded
- Lat Norwich City FC1–2
- Dvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC2–2
- Dvs Southampton FC1–1
- Wat Wrexham AFC2–1
- Dvs Bristol City FC2–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Championship
Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
18%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
74%
Draw
14%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 63%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.